Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 414.540881 475.958766 545.838568 631.754441 735.255230 856.822385 1011.748527
2024-12-15 324.782867 402.436722 499.839637 633.033307 813.686481 1055.078651 1410.660968
2024-12-22 271.972583 353.119237 461.285255 619.710963 852.355822 1192.519467 1749.786824
2024-12-29 239.961800 323.365178 440.124143 621.116650 905.445961 1355.318082 2167.270961
2025-01-05 211.562186 293.509539 412.758533 606.256531 927.611963 1471.213807 2539.327385
2025-01-12 191.859128 273.152183 395.630081 602.832390 965.225549 1618.585180 3014.365573
2025-01-19 169.618893 246.177642 364.560890 571.279980 947.568130 1660.939685 3291.968940
2025-01-26 162.856261 242.138699 368.830026 599.222539 1041.031139 1936.598199 4184.243146
2025-02-02 158.591437 241.413916 378.106395 636.965276 1160.383712 2298.106800 5456.527303
2025-02-09 148.807646 230.531170 368.720135 638.608382 1207.189917 2513.359647 6452.007922
2025-02-16 137.276523 215.600264 350.584071 620.738267 1208.965668 2622.849881 7193.847408
2025-02-23 127.663282 203.117989 335.530526 606.829131 1216.770434 2749.831645 8068.464122
2025-03-02 123.340077 199.730199 337.140988 627.958637 1311.795828 3143.938421 10198.186385
2025-03-09 117.082626 192.369005 330.595674 631.190771 1365.504730 3445.101934 12240.403055
2025-03-16 109.551365 182.041184 317.282639 617.759172 1374.519415 3616.715266 13878.792583
2025-03-23 104.386685 175.658104 311.032202 619.172328 1422.756737 3932.097354 16559.036775
2025-03-30 98.024688 166.536100 298.456977 604.369109 1424.024628 4091.962049 18595.792961
2025-04-06 93.346515 160.278065 291.131162 600.958361 1456.958731 4379.569485 21796.341373
2025-04-13 86.432855 149.249357 273.061332 569.527671 1402.380023 4321.787014 22646.999695
2025-04-20 85.396125 149.605154 278.830116 597.362512 1531.997905 5045.411451 30488.714711
2025-04-27 85.121411 151.430207 287.888830 634.957760 1703.177453 6048.325019 43375.555932
2025-05-04 81.971419 147.222176 283.382906 636.594394 1757.414109 6557.837194 52946.320550
2025-05-11 77.598281 140.237357 272.143316 618.794437 1741.350806 6719.645270 58959.138198